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WEEK 15 - THE WRONG SIDE OF FINE MARGINS I think a look through week 15 shows us we've encountered probably the collectively unluckiest weekend of the season so far, with every single person landing at least one of their selections, yet only the two claiming wins and of those, two of the smallest of the season (outside of @Machado). @CaaC (John) is the winner of the week, calling on what is on the face of it a fairly safe double in Man Utd and Ipswich. Two truly predictable scorelines as well in my opinion, said as somebody who had a 1-0 home win on the prediction league, and has quite regularly pushed a theory that Ipswich win every home game 3-2. John doubles his money. The luckiest player of the week however has to actually be Machado. Not based on the betting point of view by any stretch - he just happened to have exactly the same bet against his team in a derby that I had on the opening day of the season, and it produced an identical outcome. I had Leicester to not beat Coventry and we scored 77th and 87th minute goals to win the game 2-1. Machado backs against his team in the derby with Sporting and Benfica remarkably produce 94th and 97th minute goals to win 2-1. Is it the Gyokeres connection? I wouldn't wish to speak for him, but I'm quite safely going to assume he would take the Benfica euphoric victory over this weeks hypothetical £13.50 win - even though it would've been his biggest of the season. Which brings me to the average odds column. I've not bothered to go back through this yet, but I will eventually be updating this to see who is shooting for the stars and who is playing safe, although I think we can guess this here! Back to the bad luck. @Stan made an understandable choice in Bayern to slaughter Heidenheim but they produced a relatively conservative 4-2 win over a side who are averaging over 2 expected goals against per game - which are remarkably bad defensive numbers. Bayer Leverkusen's win was totally obvious, and frankly their odds were mental for me, it's their 10th win of 11 in the league so far, and Union Berlin remarkably have now lost 9 in a row in the league. @RandoEFC claims the only other winner of the weekend but can probably feel a bit aggrieved that it wasn't a full win, particularly given it has paid out in the last six meetings in Turin. Cagliari's consolation goal means he takes the smallest win of the season. Arsenal made no mistake beating a hapless Burnley. @Lucas puts on the opposite of a brave face pretending that Leicester losing has upset him, a result that directly works in Leeds' favour and courtesy of a Leeds player scoring for Middlesbrough. Stockport seemed a completely obvious pick at extremely generous odds, remarkably their 11th league win in a row which is three off the all time record. Leicester failed to bounce back, although we did have the chances at Middlesbrough - it was our first loss against them in 15 games. The really bad luck though I think is reserved for the bottom two, which is no surprise, we've seen this all play out before. I specifically avoid picking games that concern my own teams fortunes at this point because of how convinced I am of a curse, and after Aston Villa sailed in with a 3-1 win over Fulham, I can now add coaxing this dreadful Lyon team to their first win of a season to my list as they take three points at Rennes, in a performance seemingly totally unconvincing, and one that assures you they would've lost if Rennes hadn't picked up a red card after 'six' minutes. It was no better either for @...Dan who turned back to Ligue 2 this weekend, having landed the Paris win, he was robbed in the 94th minute by a Pau equaliser at Angers to draw 4-4. This would've put me back bottom though - so every cloud A pretty dismal week on the whole, given the number of selected wins it's pretty incredible how little money we took in. But not to worry, we only have a limited selection of lower league games and a sift through which international games have something to play for to know what angle to hit the final international weekend of 2023 with. Speaking of which, there will be no week 16 table this week as I'm going to Cape Verde on Saturday for a week, so I will get it together along with week 17. Best of luck. This is going to be testing. WEEK 15 STATS Winning bets: 2/7 Winning selections: 8/14 Weekly forum position: -£37.60 (Ranked 10/15) OVERALL STATS Winning bets: 28/109 Winning selections: 98/206 Total forum position: -£204.75

Stan like the Eminem song, not Stan like the bloke off TF365

The only thing I've seen close to anything 'anti-Israel' is BBC running an article detailing how 'allies' are changing their tone about the war. Nothing too risky or damning. It's all a bit plain.

The posted a picture of a calender with apparent names on it of people whose turn it was to look after the hostages. They were obviously hoping no one would be able to translate Arabic because as it turned out, the names on the calendar were Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. Other examples which are more horrific is them helping out elderly people for a PR photo and then that elderly person being found dead straight after. Them showing themselves getting ready to deliver incubators to hospitals when the issue isn't the lack of incubators but the fact there isn't power for incubators because Israel shut the power off. All their propaganda is being exposed and clowned but not much mention of that on mainstream news.

I honestly dont see a world where they move forward convicting the guy tbh. Unless they have social medai posts or texts or something or a history of bad blood. Its not really a natural movement with the skates but as Danny says it looks like he hit a divit in the ice or collided skates with the another player (its hard to tell on the video) and when that happens you no control basically either way and it sent his skate wildly into the air.

Sadly most are.

Another reason why IDF propaganda shouldn't be trusted... https://www.itv.com/news/2023-11-14/idf-shows-alleged-hamas-tunnels-under-childrens-hospital-is-it-accurate That video posted by Hagari the other day had so many flaws he must think the general global public are stupid.

Our daughters Gecko is out tonight for a wander, the cats are steering clear as she will scream and hiss at them and scare the shite out of them.

Israel also attacking South Lebanon which is going under reported. They want to start slaughtering the people of Lebanon as well and taking over that land too. They're not like Nazis though. Never.

A visit from our daughter with Sauzie in tow.

Sure My latest trip to Iquitos (for the 4th time this year) which is in the heart of the Peruvian amazon. One I took at 6 AM. When I became king of the Bora group. Here with a parrot. Tried to give it food and it told me to fuck off. The trip before that I did Tacna and Arequipa... For those in the discord group, they know I had issues in Arequipa cos I had the worst bathroom in the world. I lost the photo but @Tommy and @Toinho can preach As for the actual trip... Santa Catalina Monastery. At the Peru/Chile/Bolivia triborder a good 4 hours away from Tacna. Took an expensive cab there since there is no other proper way to get there, 4400 metres above sea level. Altitude was draining, but it was worth it for this statue. The town itself was called Tripartito, unfortunately one of the poorest towns in the country. Also made it to Chile, the second last South American country I had left to visit. Now only Paraguay is left. This one on the Tacna/Arica border. And Tacna itself, who are not the prettiest town but one of the cleaner and easier cities to live in here in Peru thanks to the low crime, non-existent traffic and relatively easy living conditions barring the water cuts from time to time.

Its getting to a point where paying for a dodgy box to watch football feels like the moral choice.