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EFL 2024/25 - Predictions


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Like last season...

 

CHAMPIONSHIP

1. 

2.

Play-off Winner -

22.

23.

24.

 

___________________________________________________

 

LEAGUE ONE

1.

2.

Play-off Winner -

21.

22.

23.

24.

 

___________________________________________________

 

LEAGUE TWO

1.

2.

3.

Play-off Winner - 

23.

24.

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Ive gone rogue and im doing a 1 to 24 so i can laugh at myself by October.

 

CHAMPIONSHIP

1. Leeds 

2. Burnley

I think these two should be disappointed if they don't get promoted. Leeds United would have gone up any other season with quality they showed last season, and whilst they've lost quality, Bogle is arguably a more complete right back than Gray and you'd fancy them to bring in a marquee attacking signing now Summerville has gone. Plus i fancy the bite of missing out the playoffs to spur them on.

Burnley have three promotions in the last three seasons at this level, Scott Parker has two promotions in two seasons at this level. They have about 50 players so once Parker trims the fat, find 18 odd good players and get going I fancy them for promotion.

 

3. Luton 

4. Coventry 

5. Sheff Utd

6. Boro

7. Hull City

I think the playoff teams will come from this batch of five. The top four in particular are primed to finish in the top six, whilst I fancy Hull to bring in 6+ players before the deadline and look good again. 

 

8. Norwich

9. Swansea

10. Millwall

11. Stoke City

12. West Brom

13. Sheff Wed

14. QPR

15. Bristol City

16. Preston

17. Cardiff

18. Sunderland

This is the generic "won't go up won't go down" batch that could finish anywhere from 8th to 18th. I'm curious to see what could happen to the likes of West Brom, Wednesday, QPR and Cardiff if they lose there managers. Im also interested to see which foreign striker goes off at the likes of QPR, Cardiff and Swansea as that could change there entire outlook. I have Sunderland lowest just because I don't trust there owner.

 

19.Watford

20. Blackburn

21. Plymouth

22. Oxford 

23. Portsmouth 

24. Derby County

Relegation feels really difficult this season. I think Watford and Blackburn could be surprise relegations given the underwhelming leadership we've been seeing at the top of the hierarchy for 12+ months. Plymouth feel like they wouldn't look out of place in the League One playoff chase if Whittaker leaves but they're probably the best ran team in the EFL. I've put the three promoted teams in the three relegation places but I wouldn't be surprised if this batch of six is flipped outside down. I've been impressed with Oxford's transfer business, but they needed to do that just to keep up. I've not been impressed with either Derby or Portsmouth as of yet, and the loss of Colby Bishop and Abu Kamara for differing reasons will really hurt Portsmouth.

 

 

League One

1. Birmingham

For those that haven't seen, the owners have really put there money where there mouths are and are spending at a rate we haven't seen before. It would be a real failure if they're in this division for more than one season.

 

2. Rotherham

3. Bolton

4. Huddersfield 

5. Stockport

6. Charlton

7. Wrexham

8. Wigan

9. Lincoln

This is the batch of teams that I think could make the playoffs and subsequently get promoted this seasons and I have just ranked them in order of how surprised I'd be if they missed out on the playoffs. Rotherham and Steve Evans feels like a good fit and they're landing players he wants, Bolton should have gone up last season and have the nucleus of the same squad, the Huddersfield squad feels like Michael Duffs first good job for a certain level, Stockport have a winner in Challinor and have made good signings, Charlton getting Nathan Jones feels like a que and the quality of players he's attracted suggests a bug turn around, Wrexham need no introduction and will probably be in the automatic hunt next season if they don't get promoted, Wigan have some very good individuals they'll need to keep but Maloney seems to be doing a good job and I was impressed with what Lincoln were building last season.

 

10. Peterborough

11. Barnsley

12. Bristol Rovers

13. Mansfield

14. Wycombe

15. Blackpool

16. Leyton Orient

17. Burton

18. Reading

This batch of teams are in my cop out "won't go up won't go down" section, but what I will day is every one of these clubs and there fan bases have every right to think they're heading in the right direction and have reason to be optimistic of 'maybe' getting a playoff place. Which is a little unusual to say given some of them have to finish 16th, 17th and 18th.

 

19. Northampton

20 Exeter

21. Cambridge 

22. Shrewsbury

23. Crawley 

24. Stevenage 

It feels like, to me, these six are slightly off the pace from the other clubs that are seemingly improving and will therefore make up the relegation places unless there's a massive fail elsewhere. I dont mind Exeter or Northampton, but I wouldn't say they've improved this season. Cambridge and Shrewsbury have been slowly regressing every season and now I feel they've circled the plug hole one too many times. Crawley, well, we're about to find out if this recruitment analyst they hired belongs at a top half Premiership club with his data model or if it was just fluke last season. Stevenage being bottom looks surprising but it's important to remember that team was built for Steve Evans, before him they were a mid table League Two club, and they have a Manager who failed with them in League Two. A new managerial appointment could give them a real shot in the arm.

 

 

League Two

1. MK Dons

2. Port Vale

3. Doncaster

4. Bradford

5. Salford

6. Carlisle

The owners of these clubs have been making real statements this summer and I'd be surprised if the automatic promoted batch isn't from within this group.

 

7. Chesterfield 

8. Grimsby

9. Gillingham

10. AFC Wimbledon

11. Colchester United

12. Crewe Alexandra

13. Walsall

14. Tramnere 

The fanbases of these clubs have reasons to be optimistic either through how they finished last season or what changes they've made in the summer. They should all have aspirations as high as a playoff finish this season, and as Crawley showed, if you've got a seat at the table for those three matches anything can happen.

 

15. Fleetwood Town

16. Barrow

17. Notts County

18. Bromley

The generic "Not going up, not going down" category. Fleetwood feel chaotic but there's enough there to avoid relegation, Barrow and Notts County i see having big dips from last season and promoted non-league sides don't go down.

 

19. Swindon

20. Newport

21. Cheltenham

22. Harrogate

23. Morecambe

24. Accrington Stanley

These teams feel like they're on a downward trajectory and I can see that continuing. I think the bottom four are at more risk of going down than the top two, but if a team outside these six go down then there needs to be some form of inquest at that club.

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Leeds have to get back up this season or they'll be fucked again.  They have the squad to do it and of the 3 relegated Prem teams Burnley is the only one that will probably bounce back strong, so I agree with your assessment.

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Forgot to do mine, only one game in...

 

CHAMPIONSHIP

1. Sheff Utd

2. Leeds

3. Burnley

4. Middlesbrough

5. West Brom

6. Luton

Play-off Winner - Middlesbrough

22. Millwall

23. Plymouth

24. Derby

 

___________________________________________________

 

LEAGUE ONE

1. Bolton

2. Rotherham

3. Huddersfield

4. Birmingham

5. Reading

6. Exeter

Play-off Winner - Huddersfield

21. Northampton

22. Mansfield

23. Stevenage

24. Shrewsbury

 

___________________________________________________

 

LEAGUE TWO

1. Cheltenham

2. Bradford

3. Doncaster

4. Gillingham

5. Newport

6. Port Vale

7. Fleetwood

Play-off Winner - Gillingham

23. Bromley

24. Carlisle

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