Dan

Yeah I've snapped, Southampton definitely getting autos. They're signing players now who have no business in this division. Maresca wants two midfielders but it's dependant on us being able to shift Praet so I highly doubt it. We're terrible at selling players. It's held us back quite a bit in recent years. Sensi will sign though which is good. I like the fact he's acknowledged the lack of physicality in the side as well even if he isn't going to be able to address it. The Sensi signing did make me wonder if he was a bit too idealistic.

1-0 Senegal already. Could it be?

Max Gradel playing for Ivory Coast while a Leicester fan and a Leeds fan need Senegal. We all know how this ends.

Out of interest, where were those odds from? Because this is the first time this has happened this season. If you had backed a PSG win and BTTS on a Bet365 bet builder, you would have actually still won because when a team goes 2-0 up it's classed as a win.

and Cape Verde have done their bit too. Brace yourselves people. We've got an absolute corker on the way here.

Excuse me I have actually won one I definitely have quite low faith at the minute though. Does feel like very little is going true to expectation. This one really is as simple as I think they're the better teams in their ties and the Senegal price especially is great in the circumstances. Just to clarify it's both to win in 90.

No big description or whatnot from me this week. I'm going for Cape Verde to beat Mauritania and Senegal to beat Ivory Coast. My gut tells me.

Honestly why do we bother? I of course didn't, and instead had the same selection in a treble with Bristol Rovers v Oxford and Lausanne Ouchy v Winterthur - both of those of course sail home.

I think the truth is everyone's so scared because they know deep down we're run by idiots. There are clubs who could've utilised selling him (such as Brighton actually) and strengthened the rest of the team with the money. We will dally about and half-arse it like always. The fact a club as savvy as Brighton think they can get us here is a red flag to me. We're more in the shit financially than I realised. I'm seeing some real turbulence coming with us. As much as I dislike Rodgers' handling of last season, and how I think his abysmal recruitment played a massive part in it, he had a point about these clowns. It appears this month that Maresca's been given false pretences, the same poor communication etc... that Rodgers alluded to. I didn't suddenly think this club was a well-oiled machine again just because we're beating a load of sides we have ten times the budget of.

We can't can we?

Sometimes the obvious replacement is the right one. Been pretty obvious this season that Xabi Alonso is destined for the top, as an ex-player there he'd be an obvious pick. It just depends on whether he's willing to leave Leverkusen this soon because he's got a fantastic team together there. I'm with you on De Zerbi @Dr. Gonzo I like him but I do think he's become a touch overrated.

I'm very tempted to take Senegal to beat Ivory Coast I have to say. 7/5 feels ridiculously big for an absolute shitshow against probably the strongest team in the competition.

There's no way this doesn't end 1-0 now.

I'm looking at that exact same game - I've been betting BTTS according to expected goals for a while, and Ternana have regularly flagged up for me. The best type of team for it frankly as they're a regular BTTS payout in a league with a reputation for low scoring. Do you follow Mark O'Haire by any chance? He's gone for this game this weekend too and I agreed 100% with his assessment that if you had those stats in the Eredivisie or Bundesliga that game would be about 1.44 for a BTTS payout, yet it's about 1.75 and I can only conclude it's due to it being Serie B.

It's a 3-0er but that should do.

I've a bit of a thing that any football club worth their salt should be able to sustain the hit of losing any individual, but for a very, very few exceptions. Jurgen Klopp is one of them. Irreplaceable for me. He took them from a stuttering Europa League team to one of the best Premier League sides ever and it's only due to it happening during one that's even better that it hasn't resulted in more silverware. Easily in the top five all time PL managers for me.

Our last two games have been pretty miserable but we've been pretty much flawless in this type of fixture all season. I won't really have any concerns that we could throw this away until we start blowing games like this one. I'm thinking a pretty comfortable win.

Did we dodge a bit of a bullet on Piroe? I've not seen much praise for him. It does make me smile when I see some of our fans acting like we missed out because I'm really not sure we did.

I've been trying to avoid having in-plays because I found myself quite often doing things like backing a team to have another corner with 80 on the clock when attacking and they inevitably scored and stopped putting the pressure on but I do think every now and then you get some good opportunities for it like that too. I don't tend to use Sky as much but they've always had the best variety of bet builders and long shots etc... tend to find for match odds they're pretty bad though. Have you tried this acca freeze? I keep meaning to do it, I keep seeing people freezing a team at stupid prices and boosting an acca to a ridiculous price. Only a matter of time before they tone that down I think. That sounds like a pretty good system to be honest and I'd imagine over the long run that is likely to pay out, which once again brings me back to my point that this thread is probably a quite bad reflection of the bigger picture because you're only doing two selections and if you do two they're accumulated anyway, which I'm finding is a bit of a problem (my overall profit this season is lower than if I'd just done £10 on a single selection of everything I'd had). I mean it's a bit of fun ultimately but I remember years ago when I ran it I was almost hoping for good methods etc... to come out of it. I think what you point out at the end is half the issue as well. If you start consistently beating or outthinking them they will just ban you. I know a couple of methods on how you can pretty much guarantee a win over time but I've not put it into enough practice. Basically finding odds above what an exchange (real odds) will offer, although quite how you consistently find those without software I'm not really sure. My sisters ex boyfriend told me he used to have some bit of software that would not only find the bets like this but actually place it for him as well

I knew I forgot to include something in the round up and it was a reminder that you can either stick with these or go for something new, luckily you remembered this time

Read earlier you're signing Ethan Horvath from Forest. With my Leicester hat on I'm annoyed we haven't tried to sell you Iversen earlier in the window. These are the little things we aren't doing that add up over time.

WEEK 25 - ESSENTIALLY BREAKEVEN WEEK 25 STATS Winning bets: 2/6 Winning selections: 6/12 Weekly forum position: -£1.82 (Ranked 10/25) --- OVERALL STATS Winning bets: 44/171 Winning selections: 149/322 Total forum position: -£304.91 The latest instalment arrives. A fair bit of change in the league table and a pretty ordinary week on the whole. The week produced two winners. The first is @Stan who moves back up into 4th courtesy of two second half turnaround victories. Always what I find to be the perk of backing a team to win and over X goals is you're less pissed off with the inevitable notification to find they've gone 1-0 down. Shrewsbury took a shock lead at Peterborough before half time, but there was no surprise in the turnaround and it ended 2-1. Almeria went one better, taking a shock 0-2 lead at the Bernabeu before the inevitable crumbling. It would've been quite something to see Almeria stunt another of the La Liga runaway teams but it appears that's only reserved for my picks. That's Stan's third straight win, and winning bang on £25 means he's essentially won back his bonus stake. The other winner was @RandoEFC who finally pays off with the corners. This absolutely sailed in to be honest, with Bristol City v Watford producing 15 between them, miles over the 9 required. The Ulm v Unterhaching game went similarly with the bet all but in by half time, as there were 14 corners in total, of which Ulm took 8 of them. I went ambitious this week and didn't really get anywhere near a winner. It was always risky picking a Palace side in pretty dire straits, missing Olise to go to the side with the least number of chances created against them and score, but the odds were backable for me given the data. Toney had his moment, it just happened to be a free-kick instead of a penalty this time. I can't really whinge this time. Who probably can whinge however is @Lucas. It amazes me some of the odds you get on Juventus wins. Always worth a go. But for Bayern to turn that result in at home to a team with no away wins all season is remarkably unlucky timing. He does however retain his place at the top of the table as @Pyfish double blanks in a late pick. No Cunha goal, no Leicester win. Not his week. @CaaC (John) was the other predictor. His went according to the odds. The comfortable favourites of Arsenal winning heavily. The outsiders of Nottingham Forest losing, dropping him to a season low position of 8th following five straight losses. On we go.

I'm gonna gamble here. Dunno why I do it as it always backfires. I'll take Genoa to win in their 1-1 draw with Lecce.