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nudge

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Everything posted by nudge

  1. Vogt and Selke. Not bad for our financial means (i.e. no money)! I love Davie and am happy to have him back. Should work well with Rashica and take a bit of the pressure off him. We need someone like him to annoy opposition defenders; also considering that we're one of the teams with the most crosses per game, we badly need someone strong, tall and robust on the end of it. Also he's a "Mentalitätsmonster" we can surely use in the relegation fight 18 month loan with a must-buy clause at the end of it.
  2. Only British Airways though. A number of international airlines did the same. Italy's government announced state of emergency for 6 months and banned all flights to/from China. Georgia, Israel, Kazakhstan, Mongolia, North Korea, Pakistan, Papua New Guinea and Tuvalu also suspended all China flights. Russia closed the border with China. Singapore banned entry for Chinese citizens.
  3. I think it's one of the few days in the last week where the number of recoveries was actually higher than the count of deaths. BUT at the same time the number of deaths has increased compared to previous days as well and that is somewhat worrying. All in all it's too early to tell and the sample is still too small to draw proper conclusions. Based on current official data, 1% of the patients have recovered and about 2% died, while 97% are still infected - and we have no idea what will happen to the rest of them i.e. we still have no idea about the actual fatality rate. Another limitation is testing capacity; the number of both confirmed and suspected cases is growing but apparently the hospitals are only able to carry out only up to 4000 tests a day (and that's after ramping it up with the latest improvement in testing kits) so the real scope of it all is still unclear. Also 102427 (!) close contacts are currently under medical observation - that's huge and has pretty much doubled in a day or two. And what's also worrying is that the most of new cases are outside of the Hubei province indicating that it's continuing to spread outside of the main epicenter.
  4. Latest update from China: 9720 confirmed cases (+1984 since yesterday) - 1,527 of those in serious or critical condition (+157). 15238 suspected cases (+3071). 213 deaths (+43). 171 recoveries (+47). 19 countries outside China affected + Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan.
  5. WHO said there are 8 recorded cases of human to human transmission in 4 countries outside China - namely the Vietnam, Germany, Japan and the US. I believe there's one reported in South Korea today too. Italy is the first country to close all incoming and outgoing air traffic to China after two confirmed cases in Rome.
  6. Do it; who cares if you're the only white guy doing it or not...Better safe than sorry
  7. The UK is not the only country doing this though. Americans already brought a plane full of evacuees back (health-checked in Alaska and now quarantined in California); Australians are bringing theirs and putting them into a 14 day quarantine on Christmas Island; Japanese brought one chartered plane back yesterday (twelve of them were hospitalised and three of them are now confirmed to be infected while two others refused to undergo any tests(!)) and one more today (13 pax hospitalised) while France, Canada and a few other countries are planning to do the same as soon as they get approval from China.
  8. BREAKING: World Health Organisation have officially declared PHEIC (public health emergency of international concern) over the global outbreak of 2019nCoV in a press conference just now.
  9. Most likely just a wild speculation with no substantial evidence. https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/01/29/coronavirus-china-lab-mortality-virology-wuhan-virus-not-bioweapon/
  10. nudge

    Off Topic

    No, you're most definitely not the only introvert in the world who enjoys solitude but also gets lonely from time to time. That conflict is always going to be there as we're all social animals and everyone still needs socializing, love and support to a certain degree regardless of one's social inclination.
  11. Today's update from China: 7736 confirmed cases (+1737 since yesterday) - 1370 of those in serious or critical condition (+261) 12167 suspected cases (+2928). 170 deaths (+38). 124 recoveries (+20). Updated graph of international cases (100+ with new reports coming in):
  12. No problem; I just copy pasted it haha. But yeah that's an interesting interview.
  13. A long and interesting interview with Dr. Marko (in German). English summary by Marklar from the Autosport forums: -Development ahead of schedule, rollout on the 12th february -Disagrees with Renault's take on the current order of the engines: he thinks Renault is only better on some high engine modes (like in Monza) and reliabilty counts too -They plan with 3 engines for 2020 -He thinks with Ricciardo they would have probably finished 2nd in the WCC (later in the interview he said certainly) -Ricciardo's departure was a shock, not only because he is a great driver but because he is a funny dude and there was a less fun buzz in the team without him -He won two bets again Cyril and Ricciardo: against Cyrill that Toro Rosso will finish at least twice ahead of them, and against Ricciardo before Austria that they will have the engine with the better reliability -Reckons that Gasly was strongly affected by the test crashes and by the fact that Max was simply quicker. He then tried to solve his deficit too much over set-up work/technique -He is very happy about Albon's race performance, qualifying needs improvement. And he finds it curious that he did the worst on the tracks he knew the best. He thinks he can be closer this year. -He says that Verstappen has - if everything goes normal - no exit clause (interviewer then asked if its about being top 3 in the WCC, he then replied that they have a contract with Honda till 2021 and that they need a "competitive engine") -The extension of Max happened quite quickly after Honda extended for 2021 and they wanted full focus on 2020 and contiunity. -Target is to become with Max the youngest WDC of all time -In his opinion Max and Lewis are the outstanding drivers atm, Leclerc is getting there and he isnt writting off Vettel either if he has a certain car and support. -It was clear to him that Max was special after that F3 race at the Norisring where he was 2s quicker than everyone else. At that point they were negotiating where Max would race in 2015, and after that he decided to put him into F1, which was a surprise for Jos. -Max' biggest weakness at the beginning was his patience. He made a huge step in 2019 and he only showed glimpses of this in Monza/Spa. He doesnt count Mexico to this, that was more lacking diplomacy, which he will learn. -He likes Max' straight forward attitude, and it also fits to the Red Bull brand, but for a championship fight you need to tone it down a bit, and he knows it. -Mexico was a bit unfortunate, because his press officer didnt knew that he was under investigation, so he wasnt prepared for this question. -He is happy about the measures the FIA took on the engine matter (though what happened with the Leclerc incident in Abu Dhabi was pretty BS) -Reckons that the matter is settled with the new fuel flow sensor, but engineers are creative enough to find new solutions, so it might not be. -Wasnt surprised about Leclerc's extension, but he doesnt think that Ferrari is his team yet, Vettel can still strike back if he has the car, but he needs to go out of his comfort zone and fight (politically), he is not sure if Vettel has the motivation for this -Cant imagine Vettel at Red Bull now that they extended with Verstappen, especially financially (he first said because of the budget cap, but then is told that salaries dont count, then talks about how it would be better if it was) -When he is asked about whether Verstappen is the most expensive Red Bull driver of all time, he said that the basic salary is relatively small but the bonusses are huge at Red Bull, and with that Max could indeed become the most expensive one -Alonso is a no-go, because of Honda and because Red Bull's philosophy is to have their own young drivers. -He thinks the F1 field will only converge in 2022/23 because initially the big teams will carry over their advantage. No matter what happens he praises Liberty for trying it. -Doesnt think that they will have to fire too much staff (could move them to Red Bull Technology, etc.), but they will certainly have less agency workers -Would prefer to ditch telemetry so that the driver matters more and that there is more unpredictability in terms of reliability. Would also save money. -He changed his stance on the F1 Power Unit, things have changed in the society in the last years (in terms of environmentalism) and the engines are magnificent in this aspect marketing wise, but they failed to promote this properly -He thinks Formula E is a great marketing platform, but F1 is a whole different level (was asked about whether he would advice Red Bull to race in FE) -Confirms that they were talking with Volkswagen, but that was before the Dieselgate. Then everything changed. -Confirms that Lauda promised him a Mercedes engine, but then was overruled. -He doesnt think that a different prize money distribution will change things massively: in the end the quality and dynamic of the staff matters more -About the next concorde agreement: no team has signed yet, there are some more points that need clarification, especially on the budget cap (how it's going to be policed, especially with Ferrari being a special case in the books) -Next concorde agreement wont be as long as in the past, and if they dont have a engine it's a legit reason to leave (he was asked if signing a new agreement would mean that Red Bull stays for sure all the way) -Thinks Mercedes with Hamilton are favourites, but they are well-prepared. To challenge they have to be competitive (not necessarly quickest) everywhere. -He is glad that they keep the 2019 tyres and thinks they are understanding the tyres better now (cant guarantee it though). Also implies that Mercedes with their know-how and Hamilton with his experience have an advantage on understanding tyres in general.
  14. I mean you've been married for years; I assume you're used to that anyway
  15. Haha no worries. I was just messing with you. In fact you actually liked my original post back then
  16. The official numbers aren't very representative and are pretty hard to interpret correctly I believe. Current data makes it look like the number of deaths and the number of recoveries are more or less equal. But I bet there are thousands of mild cases where people recover on their own and don't require medical help and therefore aren't included in those numbers. On the other hand, it's possible that the deaths are underreported as well (especially in cases were someone dies without being diagnosed beforehand). So far, it looks like it's a fairly contagious (R0 around 2-3) but not a very lethal virus, thankfully.
  17. Yes... Posted about it a long time ago in the sci-fi thread but got no response Only watched episode 1, thought it was decent but never got to watch more of it for some reason.
  18. Just read this, horrible. Almost beats Americans who are making their citizens pay in order to get a seat on the evacuation flight
  19. Latest update from China: 5999 confirmed cases (1239 of those critical/serious) 9239 suspected cases. 132 deaths. 104 recoveries. 59990 close contacts of the infected undergoing medical observations. 65 cases abroad (+23 in Hongkong, Taiwan and Macau).
  20. (I'm sure @Tommy will appreciate this gif.)
  21. Definitely better than nothing - but only if used correctly AND combined with other hygiene practices as you said. In principle those masks are designed to protect the environment from the wearer, not the other way around (unless it's antiviral ones). A good idea during outbreaks like these as at least it reduces the chance of the infected ones spreading the virus through the droplets via sneezing or coughing... Also the virus can be contracted through eyes.
  22. I agree that it's a very stupid assumption but the virus HAS mutated already. Data suggests at most 5 mutations at this point: https://nextstrain.org/ncov?fbclid=IwAR1qvINHzWJjiqJ5pah64LnToD2VYS7hvcWnJnOPIdVxRewzZ4gsA3cRbzQ
  23. 3 new cases confirmed in Germany (Bavaria); all are co-workers of the first infected German person. This confirms human-to-human transmission outside China.
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