nudge

Was considering it but wasn't too sure if it's worth it. Somewhat similar to Orville?

Also the timing of this: Hundreds of millions travelling in China with additional millions travelling abroad during Chunyun.

*cough* The Expanse *cough*

Yeah the name will take some getting used to... But the livery could be sexy with that colour scheme!

First confirmed cases in Europe (France).

Massive crash for Tanak in WRC

Early estimates and predictions from the Lancaster University Key findings - We estimate the basic reproductive number of the infection (𝑅𝑅0) to be significantly greater than one. We estimate it to be between 3.6 and 4.0, indicating that 72-75% of transmissions must be prevented by control measures for infections to stop increasing. - We estimate that only 5.1% (95%CI, 4.8–5.5) of infections in Wuhan are identified, indicating a large number of infections in the community, and also reflecting the difficulty in detecting cases of this new disease. Surveillance for this novel pathogen has been launched very quickly by public health authorities in China, allowing for rapid assessment of the speed of increase of cases in Wuhan and other areas. - If no change in control or transmission happens, then we expect further outbreaks to occur in other Chinese cities, and that infections will continue to be exported to international destinations at an increasing rate. In 14 days’ time (4 February 2020), our model predicts the number of infected people in Wuhan to be greater than 250 thousand (prediction interval, 164,602 to 351,396). We predict the cities with the largest outbreaks elsewhere in China to be Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Chongqing and Chengdu. We also predict that by 4 Feb 2020, the countries or special administrative regions at greatest risk of importing infections through air travel are Thailand, Japan, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and South Korea. - Our model suggests that travel restrictions from and to Wuhan city are unlikely to be effective in halting transmission across China; with a 99% effective reduction in travel, the size of the epidemic outside of Wuhan may only be reduced by 24.9% on 4 February.

They found her and she's in observation but it seems she isn't infected. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-51231593 She's definitely not the only one who successfully avoided the checks.

Latest update: 835 confirmed cases in China 25 fatalities 9507 in close contact with the infected identified, 1087 of those in medical observation and 8420 cases undergoing diagnosis now. Travel bans have been imposed on eight cities now: Wuhan, Huanggang, Ezhou, Chibi, Xiantao, Qianjiang, Zhijiang and Lichuan. At least four generations of spread confirmed. About a fourth of cases said to be severe. Japan confirmed its second case.

Think my aquarium might get too small for it at some point

What's next? Piranhas?

16; various cichlid species. 5 parrot cichlids. 4 humphead cichlids. 3 Jack Dempseys. 2 Snow White Cichlids. 1 Green Terror. 1 juvenile of unidentified species (so far).

Oh definitely; they might have suspended public transportation but people are definitely still coming and leaving. You can't possibly lock down almost 20 million people without imposing some sort of martial law. Your second point definitely makes sense too. I've read a comment from some Australian virologist who was worried that the Chinese authorities might have “just created a large cell-culture dish in which all these people will share the infection and create a lot more cases all stuck in Wuhan”.

Ezhou too (starting tonight). WHO press conference right now: While it's a public health emergency in China, it has not yet become a global emergency. The committee was divided (almost 50/50) whether to declare this a public health emergency of international concern (PHEIC) but decided it's too early for that. Too few cases confirmed outside of China at this point and China is doing good work trying to contain the virus. Depending on the further development of the virus, WHO will revise their approach.

The black spots are mostly gone from the second fish now too looks like we're good for now.

Because people in question work in industries that cater directly to Chinese tourists and expats + the medical care in the country is poor. With the Lunar New Year approaching, mass travel is to be expected and the chances of the virus spreading among certain groups increases, especially as it's adapting and mutating. Don't know if you remember the outbreak of SARS but it ended up killing around 800 people (mortality of 10%) and not only those who were elderly/young or had pre-existing health conditions. MERS has a mortality of at least 35%. This new strain comes from the same family of coronaviruses and appears to be more contagious. No need to panic but people who have a relatively high chance of being exposed to it are understandably starting to worry a bit.

Two suspected cases in Scotland; placed into isolation with flu-like symptoms after travelling to China. https://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/scottish-news/coronavirus-fears-scotland-two-hospital-21343666

I have friends/people I care about in SE Asia so I'm getting a bit worried. I also want to go back there in the next few months so I hope the situation doesn't get worse.

Two confirmed cases in Vietnam: https://news.zing.vn/tphcm-phat-hien-2-nguoi-trung-quoc-duong-tinh-voi-virus-corona-post1039221.html

Singapore confirms its first case of the virus. https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/wuhan-virus-pneumonia-singapore-confirms-first-case-12312860?cid=TWTcna

Already happening in China apparently!

I get what you're saying but with the number of people travelling daily that's pretty much impossible I think...

Latest official updates from China: Data statistics as of 2020-01-23 12:02 Nationwide: 585 cases confirmed, 392 suspected, 28 cases cured, 17 deaths (of which 10 cases have not been identified for the time being) Source of infection: Not known, but may come from snakes or bats Virus: New Coronavirus 2019-nCoV Transmission channels: Not fully grasped, human-to-human transmission, medical staff infection, and community transmission to a certain extent Does the virus mutate: it is possible Whether the epidemic has spread: yes Source: https://3g.dxy.cn/newh5/view/pneumonia

Airport health checks are already being carried out in numerous countries; the problem is the incubation period. It is said to be around 3-12 days in case of this new coronavirus although that's just an estimated guess. The actual incubation period as well as the transmission mechanism is not yet known and has been approximated with the estimates obtained for MERS and SARS... So that basically means that infected people without an onset of symptoms are pretty much impossible to be identified via simple screening. Not to mention that even people with symptoms such as fever can easily pass those airport checks. In fact a woman from Wuhan just did it in order to enter France and even boasted about it on social media... so now there's a suspected case in France as well. WHO will decided today on declaring a global health emergency. It's also worth noting that the actual number of cases is likely under-reported and the virus is already spread much more than we think it is.