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nudge

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Everything posted by nudge

  1. Yeah thankfully is not that fatal because if the mortality rate was at around 50% or higher (i.e. more people died than survived once infected) we would be having a new bubonic plague on our hands here haha. WHO's latest estimate from today's report says the current virus' case mortality is around 3.4% globally. Might look like a small number at first glance but if the spread is not contained then it could mean hundreds of thousands or even millions dead depending on how many get infected. The Spanish flu of 1918 had a similar if slightly lower mortality rate and still became one of the deadliest pandemics in human history as it killed some 30 million around the globe. Granted medical care and overall living conditions were already fucked due to the war back then so there were more factors in play; but still. Also it's not only about the mortality rate anyway. Approximately 20% of the cases result in serious symptoms that require hospitalisation (oxygen therapy; artificial ventilation; etc.) for weeks meaning that the affected country's healthcare infrastructure would likely get overloaded very quickly (especially in developing countries) leaving a lot of people without access to medical services they require, potentially resulting in countless numbers of other people dying because of completely unrelated things. All that in turn also has an effect on workforce and economy, leading to further problems. Sure that's a speculative worst case scenario but I think it's not hard to see the bigger picture of what could happen if any outbreak became as serious as some the humanity had in the past. The problem is that there's a widespread trend in society where the majority of people seem to see things as either black or white as if there's nothing in the middle; and that's not different to the reactions in this case.
  2. Midnight's update for international cases outside of mainland China in the last 24 hours (00:00 to 24:00 CET Mar 3): 2438 new cases and 49 new deaths: South Korea - 851 new cases and 6 new deaths; Iran - 835 new cases and 11 deaths; Italy - 466 new cases and 27 deaths; Spain - 45 new cases and 1 death; Germany - 31 new cases; Switzerland - 28 new cases; France - 21 new cases and 1 death; USA - 19 new cases and 3 deaths; Japan - 19 new cases; Sweden - 15 new cases; UK - 11 new cases; Norway - 8 new cases; Malaysia - 7 new cases; Australia, UAE, Oman, Iraq, Austria, Denmark - 6 new cases each; Belgium, Algeria, Netherlands, Iceland, Algeria - 5 new cases each; Canada - 3 new cases; Singapore, San Marino, Portugal - 2 new cases each; Diamond Princess cruise ship, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Croatia, Pakistan, Romania, Estonia, Mexico, Qatar, Ecuador, Ireland, Czech Republic, Senegal, Ukraine, Argentina, Liechtenstein, Chile - 1 new case each. Fourth countries reported their first ever cases today (Ukraine, Argentina, Liechtenstein, Chile).  Current total: 12728 cases and 223 deaths in 80 countries.
  3. Spain have just reported their first death - however the patient died on February 13th in Valencia and the cause of death was initially described as "pneumonia of unknown origin". At that point there weren't any officially confirmed cases on mainland Spain so it clearly represents at least weeks-long undetected spread and thus a major containment issue.
  4. https://www.technologyreview.com/s/615189/what-ai-still-cant-do/ A good read about one of the limitations of AI currently and what is being done to overcome it. Also there's an interesting takeaway there that the same limitation also applies to human minds and how it has been causing (hehe) problems in scientific research for ages. @Mel81x
  5. That bat soup video was not taken in Wuhan - and not anywhere in China for that matter - and the first patients haven't even visited the market where the virus was thought to have originated. https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/01/27/dont-blame-bat-soup-for-the-wuhan-virus/
  6. Midnight's update for international cases outside of mainland China in the last 24 hours (00:00 to 24:00 CET Mar 2): 1740 new cases and 44 new deaths: South Korea - 599 new cases and 7 new deaths; Iran - 523 new cases and 12 deaths; Italy - 342 new cases and 18 deaths; France - 61 new cases and 1 death; Spain - 36 new cases; Germany - 35 new cases; USA - 26 new cases and 5 deaths; Japan - 18 new cases; Kuwait - 10 new cases; Netherlands - 8 new cases; Canada, Iraq - 7 new cases each; Belgium, Switzerland, Norway - 6 new cases each; Australia, UK, Austria, Qatar - 4 new cases each; India, Lebanon, Iceland - 3 new cases each; Singapore, Israel, Bahrain, Indonesia, Portugal - 2 new cases each; Thailand, Taiwan, Finland, Russia, Sweden, Egypt, Croatia, Czech Republic, Andorra, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Senegal, Tunisia, Latvia, Morocco - 1 new case each; San Marino also reported their 1st death. Nine countries reported their first ever cases today (Indonesia, Portugal, Andorra, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Senegal, Tunisia, Latvia, Morocco).  Current total: 10290 cases and 174 deaths in 76 countries.
  7. nudge

    Off Topic

    Happy birthday @Toinho! It's still Monday in some places
  8. Red Bull Salzburg lost against Altach today; meaning LASK are now 6 points ahead of them in the league
  9. All countries should have banned China flights and implemented proper border controls with strict health checks and aggressive testing from the very start instead of sticking their heads in sand and ignoring the threat for almost two months hoping it would somehow disappear by itself.
  10. Midnight's update for international cases outside of mainland China in the last 24 hours (00:00 to 24:00 CET Mar 1): 1759 new cases and 23 new deaths: South Korea - 586 new cases and 4 deaths; Italy - 566 new cases and 5 deaths; Iran - 385 new cases and 11 deaths; Germany - 51 new cases; France - 30 new cases; Spain - 26 new cases; Japan - 15 new cases and 1 death; UK - 13 new cases; Hong Kong - 7 new cases; Bahrain, Iraq - 6 new cases each; USA, Ecuador - 5 new cases each; Singapore, Australia, Malaysia, Canada, Austria, Norway - 4 new cases each; Finland, Lebanon, Israel, Switzerland, Netherlands, Czech Republic - 3 new cases each; Mexico, Azerbaijan, Iceland, Qatar - 2 new cases each; Taiwan, Sweden, Belgium, Kuwait, Croatia, Denmark, Domenican Republic, Armenia - 1 new case each. Australia and Thailand also reported their first deaths too (1 each). Three countries reported their first ever cases today (Czech Republic, Domenican Republic, Armenia). Current total: 8541 cases and 130 deaths in 67 countries.
  11. Midnight's update for international cases outside of mainland China in the last 24 hours (00:00 to 24:00 CET Feb 29): 1436 new cases and 19 deaths: South Korea - 813 new cases and 1 death; Italy - 239 new cases and 8 deaths; Iran - 205 new cases and 9 deaths; France - 43 new cases; Germany - 25 new cases; Spain - 24 new cases; Norway - 9 new cases; Japan, Switzerland - 8 new cases each; Singapore - 6 new cases; Taiwan, USA (1 death), Iraq, Netherlands - 5 new cases each; Lebanon, Austria - 4 new cases each; UK, Bahrain, Greece - 3 new cases each; Canada, UAE, Sweden, Pakistan - 2 new cases each; Thailand, Australia, Croatia, Brazil, Georgia, Denmark, Mexico, Qatar, Luxembourg, Ecuador, Ireland - 1 new case each. Four countries reported their first ever cases today (Qatar, Luxembourg, Ecuador, Ireland). Current total: 6782 cases and 107 deaths in 64 countries. Cumulative cases by country (cases charted on a log scale for better visualisation):
  12. Also possible, theoretically it could be latent and virtually undetectable; similar to HIV or Herpes. It's just one more thing that we really don't know about the virus at the moment.
  13. There's very very little we currently know about it, there have only been two cases so far that are suspected to have been reinfected.
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