OrangeKhrush Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Team Team name G GA PTS xG xGA xPTS Arsenal 33 11 37 29.54-3.46 11.81+0.81 31.08-5.92 Manchester City 40 14 32 30.74-9.26 13.16-0.84 30.94-1.06 Newcastle United 29 11 30 28.43-0.57 17.45+6.45 26.32-3.68 Tottenham 31 21 29 26.09-4.91 18.07-2.93 25.89-3.11 Manchester United 20 20 26 21.85+1.85 17.34-2.66 22.42-3.58 Liverpool 28 17 22 29.58+1.58 23.10+6.10 22.44+0.44 Brighton 23 19 21 24.90+1.90 16.07-2.93 25.52+4.52 Chelsea 17 17 21 16.81-0.19 21.87+4.87 15.72-5.28 Fulham 24 26 19 21.51-2.49 32.61+6.61 15.32-3.68 Brentford 23 25 19 23.45+0.45 22.63-2.37 22.09+3.09 Crystal Palace 15 18 19 15.30+0.30 20.26+2.26 15.87-3.13 Aston Villa 16 22 18 17.35+1.35 21.34-0.66 20.24+2.24 Leicester 25 25 17 16.24-8.76 21.08-3.92 17.14+0.14 Bournemouth 18 32 16 13.32-4.68 25.41-6.59 13.09-2.91 Leeds 22 26 15 21.19-0.81 22.28-3.72 18.78+3.78 West Ham 12 17 14 19.59+7.59 17.53+0.53 21.75+7.75 Everton 11 17 14 16.22+5.22 25.38+8.38 14.26+0.26 Nottingham Forest 11 30 13 15.53+4.53 26.72-3.28 14.17+1.17 Southampton 13 27 12 16.15+3.15 23.15-3.85 15.97+3.97 Wolverhampton Wanderers 8 24 10 14.23+6.23 20.78-3.22 15.49+5.49 Source On the face of it, it looks like the season is ticking along normally with no real surprises, Arsenal are top because they are the consensus best team and wolves at the bottom because they are per consensus the worst team in the league. Going into expected points per game shows that this season has a few black sheeps hidden in the flock. Team PTS xPTS Arsenal 37 31.08-5.92 Manchester City 32 30.94-1.06 Newcastle United 30 26.32-3.68 Tottenham 29 25.89-3.11 Brighton 21 25.52+4.52 Liverpool 22 22.44+0.44 Manchester United 26 22.42-3.58 Brentford 19 22.09+3.09 West Ham 14 21.75+7.75 Aston Villa 18 20.24+2.24 Leeds 15 18.78+3.78 Leicester 17 17.14+0.14 Southampton 12 15.97+3.97 Crystal Palace 19 15.87-3.13 Chelsea 21 15.72-5.28 Wolverhampton Wanderers 10 15.49+5.49 Fulham 19 15.32-3.68 Everton 14 14.26+0.26 Nottingham Forest 13 14.17+1.17 Bournemouth 16 13.09-2.91 This is how the table should look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Administrator Stan Posted November 17, 2022 Administrator Share Posted November 17, 2022 How were Brighton 'expected' to have more points than they already do? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrangeKhrush Posted November 17, 2022 Author Share Posted November 17, 2022 Just now, Stan said: How were Brighton 'expected' to have more points than they already do? Quote Expected Points indicates how many points a team could have Expected to have taken from a game, based on the scoring opportunities that they both created and conceded in that game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Administrator Stan Posted November 17, 2022 Administrator Share Posted November 17, 2022 9 minutes ago, OrangeKhrush said: Mind you, they probably bagged a shit load of XG against us, even though they scored 5 anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrangeKhrush Posted November 17, 2022 Author Share Posted November 17, 2022 40 minutes ago, Stan said: Mind you, they probably bagged a shit load of XG against us, even though they scored 5 anyway. They lost out on points at Anfield when they were by far the better team, they also deserved to pummel Nottingham a few weeks ago, they had like 40 shots and 17 were on target, the goal posts and Henderson were having a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 If we had not rolled over and let Forest tickle our belly last weekend we would be seventh and I'd have a completely different outlook on our season than I do now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr. Gonzo Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 The fact I feel like our start to the season was absolutely abysmal and we're still somehow in 6th place is pretty amusing tbh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucas Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 5/10. Chuffed to beat Chelsea and Liverpool but equally we failed to beat Fulham, a sub par Everton, a drab Villa at home as well as losing to a poor Leicester and chucking a 2 goal lead away at an inept Southampton. Even Spurs last week should have been walking away with at least a draw, arguably at Palace too. We should definitely be higher in the table and have at least 5 more points that would put us smack bang midtable but we waste too many chances and concede too easily. It's not often we shithouse/rob games we shouldn't win. We're actually one point less over the same amount of games than last season so there's plenty of work for us to do and the competition in the final third of the league looks far tighter than last year so its gonna be a long season at this rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subscriber Dan+ Posted November 18, 2022 Subscriber Share Posted November 18, 2022 Worst start I've ever seen from us followed by probably the best run we've had in about two years. Still below where this squad is truly capable of but given it's come in the order it has done I don't think people have any major concerns now. Stars are aligning for a good Carabao Cup run too - I'll be disappointed if we don't get to the semi finals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrangeKhrush Posted November 18, 2022 Author Share Posted November 18, 2022 i will say that this season has surpassed all my expectations, pretty hard to really think how things could be better. the only disappointments were back to back draws against Palace and Bournemouth where we dominated everything but the scoreline but that's how it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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