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Everything posted by OrangeKhrush
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Premier League 2024/25 - Predictions
OrangeKhrush replied to Stan's topic in Premier League - English Football Forum
Title Winners - Arsenal Bottom 3 - Leicester, Southampton, Brentford Top Scorer - Haaland Top Assists - Salah and Palmer tie Most Clean Sheets - Raya Most Goals Scored (club) - Arsenal Most Goals Conceded (club) - Southampton Most Own Goals (club) - Leicester Arsenal City Liverpool Villa Spurs Newcastle Man United Brighton Chelsea West Ham Bournemouth Wolves Everton Palace Forest Ipswich Fulham Leicester Brentford Southampton -
It will be a signing I was ot expecting to see as we have spent all summer perusing deals for Malick Thiaw. Guehi has prem experience and the English checkmark which helps. I will be very satisfied with this signing. Apparently sent officials to turkey to try get a deal done for Yilmaz. The best business right now will be extending Gordon well beyond 2026 that will ensure all our assets are contractually secured rendering us immune to lowballing.
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City havent strengthened but rather weakened their squad. I am curious to find out who they will get to fill that role that has now been left by Palmer and Alvarez leaving in successive seasons. If he cost them 10m or so City will pocket sizable profits all things considered. Cancelo and Phillips are going to be like new signings
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Last season we were doing well up until 1 December 2023 following a game were we beat Man United 1-0 but it could have been 4 or 5 such was the dominance, we lost Nick Pope to a seemingly innocuous injury that turned into a season ending dislocation at that stage we were around 5th or 6th and looking good. Martin Dubravka does not have the presence or ability of Pope, add in a run of injuries to other key players led to a very rough December and January. Last season we had the most minutes missed by players excluding Tonali from that list with around 2000 minutes missed. Willock played 3-4 games all season, Joelinton missed 3 months, Trippier 2 months, Botman missed 2 months tried to return then had to get shut down in January with aggravated stress injury to his ACL requiring surgery (he is already back in conditioning training and expected to return around October), Wilson managed only 1200 minutes, Lascelles who did well also blew his ACL and Harvey Barnes had some freakish foot injury that side lined him until January/February. We have time to get business done but the price in August has August taxes on it, links to Guehi as an alternative to Thiaw, maybe its to try get milan to meet us inbetween the 40m euro they want and the 30m euro we offered to get the deal done. Guehi at 70m, I don't see it happening. I think we are close to completing the Osula signing which is more of a third striker option as Wilson is completely unreliable.
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Venezuela is going to turn into another Iraq, Maduro has threatened and invasion and annexation of Guyana and with the west extremely weak and in no capacity to fight a war, in the US case intentionally unwilling.
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I know that feeling, I am not happy with this off season at all and think we are banking on the Tonali return and Botman being back sooner than previously anticipated as "like a new signing". Gordon and Trippier haven't had any pre season yet and callum wilson is doing the callum wilson thing where he gets injured. It looks like we will have Murphy and Almiron on that right flank again which is not a way you seize the opportunity of having less games to play but trying to push a top 4 or 5 finish.
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Doing nothing will maintain the status quo, maduro will have power for as long as someone else doesn't rise to take it from him, the people will suffer, the economy won't grow because the export oil is used to fund a militarised state and mass immigration will become a problem for someone else, likely America. China and Russia will certainly benefit, cut a nice deal with Venezuela to put up nuclear launch sites on the doorstep of the US, have another Cuban missile crisis.
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Niclas Füllkrug - Set to join West Ham
OrangeKhrush replied to Stan's topic in Premier League - English Football Forum
He fits the West Ham setup well, I think he will do very well and take the pressure of Antonio. -
Imposing sanctions on the government weakens them to the rebellion. Allowing the government to trade and militarize itself will make the people suffer. Venezuela and Iran are on the cusp of revolts against oppressive regimes, cutting of those regimes ability to arm up and sustain itself will bring change. Your naivity to think the Venezuelans benefit from Maduros trades with China and Russia is the most astounding take away here.
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Conflicting media out, most claim an airstrike, others claim a explosive device planted months ago with remote detonation. I'm calling bullshit on both. 1) the damage to the guest house was to minimal to be any type of airstrike. The damage was local to exclusively the room haniyeh was in, the rest of the building was untouched which points to an explosive device. 2) a planted bomb months ago is bullshit, are they going to tell me that a guest house used by iran for all their high valued dignitaries is not scanned regularly? If not then they are really stupid. I am not ruling out a planned attack maybe assisted by Mossad but carried out by Iranian resistance.
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I read a headline "maduro calls on china and russia to verify voting reaults" I wonder how that is going to go. Venezuela need a full global blacklisting if maduro fails to give up power.
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PEW REPORT JUNE 2024 It was interesting some of the findings in the latest report on the political landscape of Israel. It seems that Arab and Jewish Israeli's are not far apart on critical sectors of functional society. The telling difference is down to law enforcement and the military however that requires a deep look into why. Law enforcement should be applied fairly not proportionally and thus if crime is carried out the perpetrator should be punished irrespective of ethnicity. All Israeli's combined seem to be differentiated predominantly on secularism / non secularism grounds, the rest of society is rather close on other critical areas. Benny Gantz is likely to win however Yair Lapid is not polling badly, Lapid may also bring in Mansour Abbas of Ra'am into his cooperation government. They have previously worked in co-operation to improve Bedouin society and improve integration between Arab and Jewish Israeli's, he also has worked on trying to integrate Jewish and Palestinian's in the Hebron region which is a much harder task, there are some fruits showing but I would not call it made in stone. The best path to peace is being able to break the ethnic difference, when you can tolerate people who are the complete opposite it bodes well for sustainable growth.
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You can go look at michael rapaports past tiktoks, he was pushing the left wing narrative hard, calling him far right is something that is done when someone no longer pushed the right narrative. Bill Maher another vote blue no matter who has been regarded as far right. If you said Michael Rappaport is an idiot I would agree
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Work rate and tenacity can take players that don't have technical ability up a few levels.
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Pascal Gross joins Borussia Dortmund
OrangeKhrush replied to Dave's topic in German Football Forum - Bundesliga
Very underrated player -
I think Man United are asking for way to much, if they get 20 or 22 million for a very limited player, it is a good deal.
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Islamism is the very definition of far right, supporting groups that espouse that ideology is supporting fascism or islamofascism. Calling Rappaport far right is wild considering his social media meltdowns in 2020, the dude was sipping some serious identity politics koolaid. I am perfectly fine with the prosecution of soldiers that broke rules of engagement or if they carried out violations of geneva conventions and they get sentenced accordingly. That is not new for western militaries to prosecute dishonorable soldiers, one such American soldier who was convicted of executing 23 Vietnamese civilians died in prison at the age of 80 having served around 40 years in prison.
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There are caveats, iraq is big and the Iraqi military engaged coalition forces in open conflict. Proportionally the ISIS war relative to operations saw a massive amount of US ordinance dropped on civilian towns in iraq and syria. The symmetry of urban conflict makes it dangerous but Hamas knew the game and could have put civilians in these tunnels, instead they used the civilians to conduct war crimes behind. Whether you call palastine a state or islamist caliphate Pepsi lite it does not change rules of engagement and culpability to breach of conventions. Haniyeh a few months back made an interview calling on more palastinian death to push their narrative. I am not disputing that the war has been violent, the level of intensity from November compared to current has fallen off, the most recent strikes have been to eliminate the high valued targets and degrade Hamas's ability to continue fighting. We are now seeing Yemeni uprising against the Houthis, uprising in Lebenon against Hezbollah and celebrations in Tehran by anti IRGC rebellions. What happens going forward I dont know, the United States can no longer play pacifist to appease voting blocks, America's reputation is in tatters and only strength can see them rise to the king of the pride, sanctions on iran are needed to reduce their influence, normalization agreements with UAE, Saudi Arabia, Israel and US will usher in regional stability, it will also repair the image of Islam as not expansionist or violent. It will also push the powerful gulf states away from Russia and China.
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ben Gvir talks to a very specific sect, one that has little to no power and will likely be out of government soon. That is the difference sociopaths can get voted out whereas theirs stay in power forever or until they get killed. Another major difference between Israel and Palestine is, these soldiers will go to prison for life and deservedly so, Hamas fighters that killed children, raped girls are treated like heroes, even when they die.
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The Palastine situation is difficult, part of the difficulty is Hamas dress like civilians which is a violation of Geneva Convensions; The requirements for a militia though is that: (a) that of being commanded by a person responsible for his subordinates; (b) that of having a fixed distinctive sign recognizable at a distance; (c) that of carrying arms openly; (d) that of conducting their operations in accordance with the laws and customs of war. None are complied with making it difficult for armies to ascertain risk. The common tactic is to try blind side troops but the skill and training in urban warfare has mitigated the "shooting in the back" tactics and reduced IDF losses to minimal. Rafah was supposed to be a blood bath yet it has turned out to be the most constrained operation of the entire conflict. The IDF captured the dead bodies of Hamas fighters for tagging and bagging purposes, over 2000 killed to under 200 civilians which is unfortunate but very reserved. The big issue now is that hamas is embeded within the refugee camps in northern Gaza. The best tactic now is to put the lock down on, blockades should prevent any munitions or weapons smuggling into Gaza the UN should be forced to go in and set up food distribution camps with the IDF pulling out, the UN are afraid of the IDF, so surely Hamas won't scare them then.