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Chelsea could face a points deduction and a transfer ban next summer as a football finance expert predicts a record Financial Fair Play (FFP) rule breach.

That's according to @SwissRamble, who forecasts huge sanctions against the Premier League side, having predicted a record FFP rule breach.

Chelsea could be hit next year, with the club facing the potential of a points deduction and a transfer ban next summer if they are found to fall foul of FFP's regulations around losses.

On X, the finance expert wrote: "The @SwissRamble have confirmed our - scoop - from two weeks ago with a fresh forecast also showing that CFC is heading towards a record breach of the FFP provisions next summer!

"A forecast is a forecast and the direct insight into a club like Chelsea is very limited, but the assumption must be that this is part of Chelsea’s strategy and that they for example are bracing themselves for a transfer ban next summer. They will still be allowed to do business in January, however.

"Former PL boss Richard Scudamore was very clear that the PL would request Points Deductions if any team breach the 105m limit when the rules was implemented in 2013. Even if further sales still are possible, I think the forecasts are too optimistic by quite a large margin (sign on fees, agent fees etc). So this will be interesting to follow next summer depending on where Chelsea finish."

Since Todd Boehly’s arrival, Chelsea have handed several long-term contracts to new signings to spread costs.

This is a form of creative accounting used to balance the books by gradually writing off the initial cost of a player over the course of their deal.

While UEFA reacted to this practice by ruling that from this summer window, clubs will be able to offer long deals but be limited to spreading out the cost of fees to a five-year period, the Premier League never made such a move.

And with Chelsea not in European competition this term following their 12th-placed finish last season, they have been able to continue exploiting the FFP loophole.

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I do hope we don't fuck this up tonight playing a much changed team... Not sure what the subs are yet but sure there will be a rescue package or two there in case we drop a clanger... 

Chelsea make seven changes to the side that beat Luton 3-0 at Stamford Bridge on Friday night. Ian Maatsen, Lesley Ugochukwu and Mason Burstow make their first starts for the Blues. Diego Moreira makes his debut while Conor Gallagher has the captain's armband.

Chelsea XI: Sanchez; Disasi, Colwill, Humphreys, Cucurella; Ugochukwu, Gallagher (c); Madueke, Maatsen, Moriera; Burstow

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5 minutes ago, Dr. Gonzo said:

A weakened lineup should be able to beat AFC Wimbledon tbf

Never understood playing weakened line up's... With no European football we should be playing our strongest side every game and if it's going well then bring on some of the fringe players for some game time.. Regardless what anyone thinks if you play a second string team it doesn't show the opposition much respect.. 

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9 minutes ago, Bluewolf said:

Never understood playing weakened line up's... With no European football we should be playing our strongest side every game and if it's going well then bring on some of the fringe players for some game time.. Regardless what anyone thinks if you play a second string team it doesn't show the opposition much respect.. 

If you want to give your youth and fringe players a pathway into the first team, they've got to be given chances to impress somewhere. The League Cup is ideal for big sides and big squads to try out players that don't get much time on the pitch, tbh. I'm pretty sure you've got one of the biggest squads in the league too, so with the higher pressure higher stakes games... Poch (or any manager) is going to be less inclined to give them a go. But against a League Two side in a cup with the lowest cash payout of all the tournaments you're in... it's a pretty low pressure place to get them some time on the pitch.

If you had a smaller squad or hadn't won anything in a decade, I'd probably agree with you. But you've got bigger fish to fry and these players aren't going to get much of a chance in any other matches other than the league cup tbh. If they want to get more chances this season, they've got to prove they're above League Two level in the first place. This is their time to perform and if not, worst case scenario... it's less fixtures for Poch to worry about as he tries to do the best he can in the league and FA Cup with more senior players.

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