Jump to content
talkfootball365
  • Welcome to talkfootball365!

    The better place to talk football.

Off Topic


football forums

Recommended Posts

@nudge I've tagged you in this just because you've probably heard of it and can explain it a bit more. 

There a paradox called the monty hall paradox. It's really blown my mind. I kind of get it but am having a hard  job  expressing it if you get what I mean.  Especially at 3 o clock in the morning 

Apparently there was a show with a presenter called monty hall. There would be 3 doors and you would have to guess which door the prize was behind. You would say which door you thought it was. He would open one of the two doors you said you didn't think it was. If the prize wasn't behind that door you would get a chance to stay with your original door or switch to the other door. Now apparently you actually have more chance of winning if you switch. The odds of you getting it right were 1/3. The two doors that you didn't pick had a combined total of 2/3. So if you switch you have more chance because that door was part of the 2/3 odds. 

I found it easier to understand if it's done with 100 doors.

Say you pick one door out of 100 and you get to the final 2. The chances are much higher that your original pick was wrong and that it was one of the other 99 doors which the option you didn't pick is part of. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Sign up to remove this ad.
  • Subscriber
13 hours ago, Gunnersaurus said:

@nudge I've tagged you in this just because you've probably heard of it and can explain it a bit more. 

There a paradox called the monty hall paradox. It's really blown my mind. I kind of get it but am having a hard  job  expressing it if you get what I mean.  Especially at 3 o clock in the morning 

Apparently there was a show with a presenter called monty hall. There would be 3 doors and you would have to guess which door the prize was behind. You would say which door you thought it was. He would open one of the two doors you said you didn't think it was. If the prize wasn't behind that door you would get a chance to stay with your original door or switch to the other door. Now apparently you actually have more chance of winning if you switch. The odds of you getting it right were 1/3. The two doors that you didn't pick had a combined total of 2/3. So if you switch you have more chance because that door was part of the 2/3 odds. 

I found it easier to understand if it's done with 100 doors.

Say you pick one door out of 100 and you get to the final 2. The chances are much higher that your original pick was wrong and that it was one of the other 99 doors which the option you didn't pick is part of. 

Yeah we got introduced to it in the statistics intro class. It's an interesting one cause it feels really counterintuitive, but it's all about probabilities... and humans are notoriously bad at assessing probabilities. Like you said, it's much easier to understand if you think of the same problem but with a 100 doors instead of 3. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

52 minutes ago, nudge said:

Yeah we got introduced to it in the statistics intro class. It's an interesting one cause it feels really counterintuitive, but it's all about probabilities... and humans are notoriously bad at assessing probabilities. Like you said, it's much easier to understand if you think of the same problem but with a 100 doors instead of 3. 

I find these things really interesting sometimes. Difficult to understand but interesting 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 hours ago, Gunnersaurus said:

a presenter called monty hall. There would be 3 doors and you would have to guess which door the prize was behind. You would say which door you thought it was. He would open one of the two doors you said you didn't think it was. If the prize wasn't behind that door you would get a chance to stay with your original door or switch to the other door. Now apparently you actually have more chance of winning if you switch.

My mate and me were talking about this on Thursday funny enough... 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 3 weeks later...
  • Subscriber

The wifes Birthday and our daughter is visiting with Kaiden and giving us the treat of a carry-out at the local chippie, I am having a fish supper with the norm chip shop chips, looking forward to this, my healthy docs diet is out of the window for today,

 

Watch this space :P 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Subscriber
1 hour ago, CaaC (John) said:

The wifes Birthday and our daughter is visiting with Kaiden and giving us the treat of a carry-out at the local chippie, I am having a fish supper with the norm chip shop chips, looking forward to this, my healthy docs diet is out of the window for today,

 

Watch this space :P 

BBBUUUUURRRRP    :hh:

455290023_10161751113447855_140687870304

 

 

 

  • Upvote 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 4 weeks later...
  • Subscriber

(Fishing & Angling thread locked)

Quote

People horrified by what lies beneath after man drops GoPro from 'world's most dangerous fishing bridge'

You wouldn't want to just jump in there yourself

image.thumb.png.fe8d59a801f7efe1cea1c5149856bd03.png

Just when you thought it was safe to go back into the water...

Actually, we really hope you never thought it was safe to go into this water because it was green as hell and full of creatures that might fancy taking a bite out of you.........

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 1 month later...

Morning lads and lasses. Apologies for the absence, life suddenly caught up with me this year. My Mrs nearly died in January and we’ve waited most of this year for a heart operation that didn’t solve the issue. Add to that 3 kids and major work responsibilities and something had to give. I’ll try and be a bit more active moving forward as things have calmed a little X

  • Sad 9
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Subscriber

I wondered where you were, I hope your loved one pulls through ok buddy and remember family issues are more important than chat forums of any kind, family ALWAYS comes first so no rush in coming in here frequently, you take care and watch over the ones you love than a bunch of nutters like us in here. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 26/10/2024 at 10:10, DeadLinesman said:

Morning lads and lasses. Apologies for the absence, life suddenly caught up with me this year. My Mrs nearly died in January and we’ve waited most of this year for a heart operation that didn’t solve the issue. Add to that 3 kids and major work responsibilities and something had to give. I’ll try and be a bit more active moving forward as things have calmed a little X

Hang in there buddy.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Administrator
On 26/10/2024 at 10:10, DeadLinesman said:

Morning lads and lasses. Apologies for the absence, life suddenly caught up with me this year. My Mrs nearly died in January and we’ve waited most of this year for a heart operation that didn’t solve the issue. Add to that 3 kids and major work responsibilities and something had to give. I’ll try and be a bit more active moving forward as things have calmed a little X

So sorry to hear that. 

How are you holding up now? If you ever need to chat just say.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

football forum
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...